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Guarai SC vs Sao Jose (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

2 - 2
FT
Sao Jose (TO) Logo

Sao Jose (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 game between Guarai SC and Sao Jose (TO) finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Guarai SC
30%
Draws
38%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Sao Jose (TO)
2:2
Apr 9, 2011 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Sao Jose (TO)
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 29 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sao Jose (TO)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guarai SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Sao Jose (TO)
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 6

Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8
Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose (TO) 5 4 1 0 21:4 13
2 Interporto 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
3 Guarai SC 5 3 2 0 21:5 11
4 Batalhao 5 3 0 2 18:3 9
5 Araguaia (TO) 5 3 0 2 12:9 9
6 Taquarussu 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
7 Paraiso EC 5 0 0 5 3:24 0
8 Uniao de Palmas 5 0 0 5 1:27 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)