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Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
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AI Match Summary

Guarai SC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Guarai SC
22%
Draws
18%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Tocantins.
  • Model gives Guarai SC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Tocantins
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 3.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
4:3
Apr 4, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:1
May 2, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 58 / 100
Tocantins 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarai SC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantins's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tocantins has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Tocantins
3.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Guarai SC
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Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gurupi1481521:1425
2Tocantinopolis1473430:1924
3Palmas1466231:2324
4Interporto1464418:1122
5Tocantins1454523:2119
6Araguaina1454518:2119
7Colinas1426619:3412
8Guarai SC1414911:287
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)