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Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

2 - 0
FT
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarai SC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guarai SC
20%
Draws
16%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Tocantins.
  • Model gives Guarai SC a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Tocantins
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2.16 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
4:3
Apr 4, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:1
May 2, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 85 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarai SC scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Tocantins's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tocantins has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Tocantins
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
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Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)