Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Samuel
37'
37'
Samuel
65'
65'
Vitinho Santos
AI Match Summary
Guarani B in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paulista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paulista lately — more wins on the board than Guarani B.
- Guarani B are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Paulista arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 20%
Paulista Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani B | Paulista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 16 | 38 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2025 Copa Paulista
Paulista vs Guarani B
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Paulista
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani B Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Paulista Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinho Santos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani B 42 / 100
Paulista 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani B Paulista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 38 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Guarani B's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.
Solid form: Guarani B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Paulista
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani B
(Home) 16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2 Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0 Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3 Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0 Guarani B
Page 1 of 4
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2 Sao Bento
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3 Primavera EC
14 Jul
Guarani B
1 : 0 Rio Branco SP
30 Jun
Guarani B
1 : 2 Piracicaba
16 Jun
Guarani B
2 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 2
Paulista
(Away) 07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 8
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0 Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2 Paulista
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1 Paulista
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1 Paulista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
