Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani B vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Afonso
53' Event
Richard Almeyda
61' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

Primavera EC in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Guarani B
20%
Draws
70%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primavera EC lately — more wins on the board than Guarani B.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Primavera EC taking it.
  • Primavera EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Primavera EC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 17%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani B Primavera EC
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Primavera EC
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Guarani B
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richard Almeyda
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani B 10 / 100
Primavera EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani B Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Primavera EC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Guarani B found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (16 games).

Guarani B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Primavera EC
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani B

(Home)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
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Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)