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Guarani B vs Sao Bento

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Vitinho
69' Event
Marco Gabriel
90' Event
Moraes Santos H. K.

AI Match Summary

Sao Bento in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Guarani B
20%
Draws
64%
Sao Bento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Bento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guarani B haven't matched Sao Bento's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarani B's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sao Bento arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Bento, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani B Sao Bento
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Sao Bento
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Guarani B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani B Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sao Bento Compare

Top Goalscorer Marco Gabriel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moraes Santos H. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani B 41 / 100
Sao Bento 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani B Sao Bento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Bento's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guarani B's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani B VS Sao Bento
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani B

(Home)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
Page 1 of 4

Sao Bento

(Away)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)