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Guarani de Fram vs Independiente FBC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rivarola V.

AI Match Summary

Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Guarani de Fram
17%
Draws
70%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Independiente FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Fram haven't matched Independiente FBC's recent run of results.
  • Independiente FBC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 15%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Fram Independiente FBC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guarani de Fram
2:0
Jun 16, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guarani de Fram vs Independiente FBC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Fram Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivarola V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Fram 15 / 100
Independiente FBC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Fram Independiente FBC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Fram's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Independiente FBC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Guarani de Fram went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Fram VS Independiente FBC
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926