Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Paulinho Cearense
70' Event
Kaka

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Juazeiro host Crato in the Cearense 2. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Guarani de Juazeiro at 0.75 goals for, 1.38 against; Crato at 1.13 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, Guarani de Juazeiro have won 3 to Crato's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.25, favoring Crato. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guarani de Juazeiro
30%
Draws
34%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Crato has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 19%
Crato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Crato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:2
Feb 18, 2014 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaka
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Cearense
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 36 / 100
Crato 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Crato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Crato let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Guarani de Juazeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Crato lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Crato
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124