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Guarani de Palhoca vs Fluminense-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Cleiton

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Guarani de Palhoca and Fluminense-SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guarani de Palhoca
30%
Draws
33%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarani de Palhoca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:1
May 23, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 85 / 100
Fluminense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Palhoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guarani de Palhoca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Guarani de Palhoca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Fluminense-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)