Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani de Palhoca vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Goncalo G.

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Palhoca in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarani de Palhoca
40%
Draws
29%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 17%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 27 21
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:0
May 16, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Gremio Juventus
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Gremio Juventus
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:0
Apr 7, 2013 Catarinense
Gremio Juventus vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 31 / 100
Gremio Juventus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarani de Palhoca scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Gremio Juventus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Recent resilience: Guarani de Palhoca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Gremio Juventus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631