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Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vitao
33' Event
Dudu
51' Event
Dudu

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Guarani de Palhoca and Jaragua-SC finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guarani de Palhoca
20%
Draws
0%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaragua-SC haven't matched Guarani de Palhoca's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Guarani de Palhoca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guarani de Palhoca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.47 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
7:0
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
3 Goals
Assists Leader Flavinho
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Palhoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jaragua-SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guarani de Palhoca's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Jaragua-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)