Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Jaragua-SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarani de Palhoca
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guarani de Palhoca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Guarani de Palhoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaragua-SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
6:1
Sep 7, 2025 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jaragua-SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guarani de Palhoca's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 65% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Jaragua-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
28 Jun
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Guarani de Palhoca
21 Jun
Guarani de Palhoca
0 : 0
Nacao
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
01 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Tubarao
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guarani de Palhoca2
Jaragua-SC1