Sport Picks

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Guarani U20 vs Desportivo U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Guarani U20 Logo

Guarani U20

2 - 0
FT
Desportivo U20 Logo

Desportivo U20

Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kewen
64' Event
Kewen
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guarani U20
30%
Draws
19%
Desportivo U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani U20 have won more games recently than Desportivo U20.
  • Guarani U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Guarani U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Guarani U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Desportivo U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Desportivo U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Desportivo U20
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Guarani U20
0:1
May 9, 2025 Paulista U20
Desportivo U20 vs Guarani U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kewen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Desportivo U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 85 / 100
Desportivo U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Desportivo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Desportivo U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Guarani U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guarani U20 VS Desportivo U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

Desportivo U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Desportivo U20
1 : 1
Osasco Sporting U20
19 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
2 : 4
Desportivo U20
12 Sept
Osasco Sporting U20
1 : 1
Desportivo U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
21 Aug
Ibrachina U20
3 : 0
Desportivo U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Sertaozinho U20 0
Portuguesa U20 1
Referencia U20 2
Bragantino U20 9
Itapirense U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Uniao Suzano U20 5
XV de Jau U20 4
Santos U20 5
Portuguesa Santista U20 1
Corinthians U20 4
Piracicaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 4
Maua FC U20 2
Santo Andre U20 3
Osasco Sporting U20 6
Ibrachina U20 10
Osasco Audax U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 6
Mirassol U20 4
Guarani U20 3
Desportivo U20 0
CA Juventus U20 0
Gremio Prudente U20 3
Ituano U20 4
Sao Caetano U20 0
Ponte Preta U20 1
Capivariano U20 0
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U20 5
Referencia U20 0
Bragantino U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20 3
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Santos U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 4
Osasco Sporting U20 2
Ibrachina U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Guarani U20 5
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Ituano U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 3
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Botafogo SP U20 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20 1
Santos U20 7
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ferroviaria U20 0
Guarani U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 5
Sao Paulo U20 4
Guarani U20 1
Final
Santos U20 5
Sao Paulo U20 4