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Guarani U20 vs Ponte Preta U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kewen
48' Event
Andrey
86'
Nikolas Francisco

AI Match Summary

Guarani U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Guarani U20
17%
Draws
13%
Ponte Preta U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ponte Preta U20.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Guarani U20.
  • Cup tournament structure in Paulista U20 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte Preta U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Ponte Preta U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Ponte Preta U20
2:0
Oct 3, 2025 Paulista U20
Ponte Preta U20 vs Guarani U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kewen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrey
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ponte Preta U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 67 / 100
Ponte Preta U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Ponte Preta U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani U20 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ponte Preta U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Guarani U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ponte Preta U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani U20 VS Ponte Preta U20
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Palmeiras U204
Sertaozinho U200
Portuguesa U201
Referencia U202
Bragantino U209
Itapirense U202
Novorizontino U201
Botafogo SP U205
EC Sao Bernardo U202
Internacional de Limeira U201
Uniao Suzano U205
XV de Jau U204
Santos U205
Portuguesa Santista U201
Corinthians U204
Piracicaba U201
Sao Paulo U204
Maua FC U202
Santo Andre U203
Osasco Sporting U206
Ibrachina U2010
Osasco Audax U200
Ferroviaria U206
Mirassol U204
Guarani U203
Desportivo U200
CA Juventus U200
Gremio Prudente U203
Ituano U204
Sao Caetano U200
Ponte Preta U201
Capivariano U200
1/8-finals
Palmeiras U205
Referencia U200
Bragantino U201
Botafogo SP U204
EC Sao Bernardo U203
Uniao Suzano U202
Santos U203
Corinthians U201
Sao Paulo U204
Osasco Sporting U202
Ibrachina U200
Ferroviaria U201
Guarani U205
Gremio Prudente U202
Ituano U202
Ponte Preta U203
Quarter-finals
Palmeiras U204
Botafogo SP U201
EC Sao Bernardo U201
Santos U207
Sao Paulo U202
Ferroviaria U200
Guarani U203
Ponte Preta U200
Semi-finals
Palmeiras U204
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204
Guarani U201
Final
Santos U205
Sao Paulo U204