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Guarani vs Botafogo SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Carlao
22'
Guilherme Parede
29'
Kelvin

AI Match Summary

The Paulista game between Guarani and Botafogo SP finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guarani
30%
Draws
12%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Guarani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Botafogo SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista
Guarani vs Botafogo SP
0:2
Jan 15, 2025 Paulista
Guarani vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Oct 9, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Guarani
3:2
May 11, 2024 Serie B
Guarani vs Botafogo SP
2:0
Mar 1, 2024 Paulista
Botafogo SP vs Guarani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Hygor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelvin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 68 / 100
Botafogo SP 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Botafogo SP conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Guarani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Botafogo SP
1.83 Goals Scored 1.38
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
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Botafogo SP

(Away)
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)