Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani vs Brusque

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarani host Brusque in the Serie C. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Guarani at 1.39 goals for, 1.14 against; Brusque at 1.33 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Brusque slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Brusque. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guarani
20%
Draws
51%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Guarani.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Brusque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Brusque
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Guarani
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Brusque
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Guarani
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Guarani
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Serie B
Guarani vs Brusque
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 32 / 100
Brusque 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Brusque
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Brusque

(Away)
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
13 Jul
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Brusque
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 17 9 3 5 25:19 30
2 Internacional de Limeira 17 8 4 5 22:20 28
3 Botafogo PB 17 8 3 6 23:18 27
4 Paysandu PA 16 8 2 6 25:22 26
5 Guarani 16 7 5 4 29:17 26
6 Santa Cruz 17 7 4 6 17:14 25
7 Ypiranga FC 16 7 3 6 22:20 24
8 Amazonas 17 7 3 7 18:20 24
9 SER Caxias do Sul 16 6 6 4 16:12 24
10 Ferroviaria 16 6 6 4 17:14 24
11 Maranhao 17 6 6 5 14:15 24
12 Maringa FC 16 6 5 5 28:28 23
13 Ituano 17 6 4 7 18:18 22
14 Volta Redonda 17 6 3 8 12:21 21
15 Floresta EC 16 5 6 5 17:19 21
16 Figueirense 16 5 6 5 15:20 21
17 Itabaiana 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
18 Anapolis 16 4 3 9 15:20 15
19 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 6 7 17:19 15
20 Confianca 16 3 3 10 10:17 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)