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Guarani vs Brusque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Guarani Logo

Guarani

2 - 2
FT
Brusque Logo

Brusque

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Marlyson
34' Event
Maranhao
46'
Sub
Pedro Medeiros In: Petterson Novaes
Out: Pedro Medeiros
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guarani
35%
Draws
35%
Brusque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusque lately — more wins on the board than Guarani.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Guarani Clean Sheet 14%
Brusque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Brusque
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C
Guarani vs Brusque
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Guarani
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Brusque
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Guarani
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie B
Brusque vs Guarani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Petterson Novaes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ariel Palacio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 31 / 100
Brusque 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Brusque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brusque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Brusque
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6

Brusque

(Away)
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2
Brusque
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)