Sport Picks
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Freire N. In: Gimenez N.
Out: Freire N.
45'
45'
Vera O. R.
Assist: Espinoza Acosta M. D.
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandez M. In: Bogarin J.
Out: Fernandez M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Guarani haven't matched Libertad Asuncion's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
3:3
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion vs Guarani
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Coronel P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera O. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 41 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani Libertad Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Guarani has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Libertad Asuncion has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS Libertad Asuncion
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
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Libertad Asuncion
(Away) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
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05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
