Sport Picks
Guarani vs Santa Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas 
Match Events
38'
38'
Yan Henrique
44'
44'
Sub
Emerson Barbosa In: Renan Castro
Out: Emerson Barbosa
46'
46'
Sub
Thiago Ennes In: Renato
Out: Thiago Ennes
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Guarani and Santa Cruz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guarani Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie C
Guarani vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Aug 19, 2017 Serie B
Guarani vs Santa Cruz
2:0
May 20, 2017 Serie B
Santa Cruz vs Guarani
2:1
Aug 27, 2005 Serie B
Guarani vs Santa Cruz
2:0
Dec 1, 2001 Serie A Betano
Guarani vs Santa Cruz
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Willian Farias
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Santa Cruz Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 28 / 100
Santa Cruz 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Santa Cruz let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Guarani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS Santa Cruz
1.57 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 25%
71% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1 Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1 Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Brusque
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1 Internacional de Limeira
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0 Floresta EC
13 Jun
Guarani
2 : 1 SER Caxias do Sul
Page 1 of 3
Santa Cruz
(Away) 03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1 Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1 Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0 Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1 Santa Cruz
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2 Santa Cruz
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2 Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
