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Guarani vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Lucas Rocha
31'
Sub
Lucas Rocha In: Alan
Out: Lucas Rocha
32'
Raphael

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Guarani and Volta Redonda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Guarani
20%
Draws
30%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarani come out ahead of Volta Redonda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guarani's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Volta Redonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.4 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie C
Guarani vs Volta Redonda
2:0
May 10, 1978 Serie A Betano
Volta Redonda vs Guarani
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Volta Redonda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 77 / 100
Volta Redonda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Volta Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Volta Redonda let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Volta Redonda
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6

Volta Redonda

(Away)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)