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Guarani vs Ypiranga FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
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Match Events

33' Event
Dudu Marques
37'
Luis Otavio
46'
Sub
Luis Otavio In: Willian Farias
Out: Luis Otavio

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Guarani
35%
Draws
45%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani haven't matched Ypiranga FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ypiranga FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Guarani Clean Sheet 16%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Serie C
Guarani vs Ypiranga FC
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Ypiranga FC
2:1
Sep 18, 2016 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Guarani
2:2
Jul 17, 2016 Serie C
Guarani vs Ypiranga FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Marques
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauricio Antonio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Lucas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Ramos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 23 / 100
Ypiranga FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Ypiranga FC conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Ypiranga FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
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Ypiranga FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)