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Guarany Alagoano U20 vs Grota do Facao U20

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Alagoano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarany Alagoano U20 play Grota do Facao U20 in the Alagoano U20 2025. Guarany Alagoano U20 are favorites here. Recently, Guarany Alagoano U20 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Grota do Facao U20 averaged 1.07 goals scored and 4.43 conceded. In past meetings, Guarany Alagoano U20 won 1, Grota do Facao U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Guarany Alagoano U20 and 0.88 for Grota do Facao U20. This points to a Guarany Alagoano U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guarany Alagoano U20
15%
Draws
27%
Grota do Facao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany Alagoano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano U20 picked up more points recently compared to Grota do Facao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Guarany Alagoano U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Grota do Facao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Alagoano U20 Grota do Facao U20
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 5 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 4.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 6.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Alagoano U20
Guarany Alagoano U20 vs Grota do Facao U20
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany Alagoano U20 57 / 100
Grota do Facao U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Alagoano U20 Grota do Facao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guarany Alagoano U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarany Alagoano U20 attacking → ← attacking Grota do Facao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany Alagoano U20 scored in 86% of their last 14 games.

Grota do Facao U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Guarany Alagoano U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Grota do Facao U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 12
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340