Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarany Alagoano vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Dede
90'
da Silva J.

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2024 game between Guarany Alagoano and Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarany Alagoano
6%
Draws
4%
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarany Alagoano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 20%
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Alagoano Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.63 0.2
Goals Conceded 1 4.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dede
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18
Avg xA / game 0.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany Alagoano 85 / 100
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Alagoano Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guarany Alagoano scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Guarany Alagoano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany Alagoano VS Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.2
1 Goals Conceded 4.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany Alagoano

(Home)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense

(Away)
12 Mar
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
1 : 8
SC Penedense
01 Mar
CRB
8 : 0
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
26 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 5
Murici
13 Feb
Coruripe
1 : 0
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
09 Feb
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense
0 : 1
Dimensao Capela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi981017:325
2Guarany Alagoano962116:820
3Igaci961219:319
4Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense952213:517
5Dimensao Capela941413:813
6Alianca93157:710
7Miguelense92345:89
8FF Sport91445:117
9Jacioba92077:176
10Sao Domingos AL90182:341
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2024 (Play Offs)