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Guarany Alagoano vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca

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Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Galeguinho
51'
Denilson

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Guarany Alagoano and Cruzeiro Arapiraca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarany Alagoano
6%
Draws
4%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany Alagoano come out ahead of Cruzeiro Arapiraca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guarany Alagoano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 68%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Alagoano Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Alagoano 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs Guarany Alagoano
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany Alagoano 95 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Alagoano Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany Alagoano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Guarany Alagoano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany Alagoano VS Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany Alagoano

(Home)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
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Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany Alagoano770016:221
2Cruzeiro Arapiraca751111:416
3Dimensao Capela740312:712
4Agrimaq740313:1112
5Zumbi731310:610
6Alianca720510:126
7Miguelense72058:136
8Jacioba70073:280
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)