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Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage
Guarany de Bage Logo

Guarany de Bage

0 - 1
FT
GE Bage Logo

GE Bage

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Chaves
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guarany de Bage
35%
Draws
32%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Guarany de Bage's recent run of results.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Guarany de Bage have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor GE Bage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany de Bage GE Bage
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
1:2
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
2:2
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Sep 9, 2021 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany de Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany de Bage 41 / 100
GE Bage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany de Bage GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany de Bage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GE Bage conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Guarany de Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guarany de Bage scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany de Bage VS GE Bage
1.67 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany de Bage

(Home)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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GE Bage

(Away)
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Santa Cruz RS 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
3 Monsoon 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Brasil de Farroupilha 6 0 4 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasil de Pelotas 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 GE Bage 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 Guarany de Bage 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Farroupilha 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)