Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Chaves

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with GE Bage advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guarany de Bage
30%
Draws
34%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarany de Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarany de Bage haven't matched GE Bage's recent run of results.
  • Guarany de Bage are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • GE Bage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor GE Bage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany de Bage GE Bage
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
1:2
May 20, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
2:2
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Sep 9, 2021 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs GE Bage
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany de Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany de Bage 46 / 100
GE Bage 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany de Bage GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Guarany de Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Guarany de Bage scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

GE Bage let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarany de Bage VS GE Bage
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany de Bage

(Home)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)