Sport Picks
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
Brazil
Gaucho Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage 
Match Events
36'
36'
Alberte
Assist: Murilo
40'
40'
da Luz Farias O.
46'
46'
Sub
Salas De La Hoz A. D. J. In: Mossoro
Out: Salas De La Hoz A. D. J.
AI Match Summary
Guarany de Bage in this Gaucho matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarany de Bage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarany de Bage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Inter Santa Maria have won more games recently than Guarany de Bage.
- Win probability leans Guarany de Bage's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guarany de Bage have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarany de Bage | Inter Santa Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Gaucho
Inter Santa Maria vs Guarany de Bage
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
1:0
Jul 2, 2023 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Guarany de Bage
1:1
Apr 29, 2023 Gaucho 2
Guarany de Bage vs Inter Santa Maria
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarany de Bage Compare
Top Goalscorer Alberte
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Inter Santa Maria Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarany de Bage 51 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarany de Bage Inter Santa Maria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Guarany de Bage stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Guarany de Bage scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Inter Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Guarany de Bage VS Inter Santa Maria
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarany de Bage
(Home) 17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2 Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1 Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
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17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3 Brasil de Pelotas
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 Cianorte
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0 Farroupilha
24 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 4 FC Cascavel
20 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1 GE Bage
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Inter Santa Maria
(Away) 07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1 Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1 Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2 Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1 Inter Santa Maria
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07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2 Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1 Inter Santa Maria
24 Jan
Guarany de Bage
1 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
21 Jan
Internacional
2 : 0 Inter Santa Maria
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 15 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Avenida | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 2 | SER Caxias do Sul | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Ypiranga FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 5 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 6 | Inter Santa Maria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1:4 | 5 |
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)
