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Guarany SE U20 vs Itabaiana U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
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AI Match Summary

Itabaiana U20 in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itabaiana U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guarany SE U20
35%
Draws
47%
Itabaiana U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itabaiana U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabaiana U20 have won more games recently than Guarany SE U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guarany SE U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Itabaiana U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SE U20 Itabaiana U20
Matches Played 15 19
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Sergipano U20
Guarany SE U20 vs Itabaiana U20
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Sergipano U20
Itabaiana U20 vs Guarany SE U20
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SE U20 30 / 100
Itabaiana U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SE U20 Itabaiana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabaiana U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana U20 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guarany SE U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guarany SE U20's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SE U20 VS Itabaiana U20
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SE U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Guarany SE U20
0 : 0
Confianca U20
12 Sept
Sergipe U20
5 : 5
Guarany SE U20
Page 1 of 3

Itabaiana U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Itabaiana U20
2 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju U20
27 Sept
Guarany SE U20
1 : 2
Itabaiana U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Itabaiana U20
5 : 3
Sergipe U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)