Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Guarany SE play Desportiva Aracaju in the Sergipano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guarany SE averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Desportiva Aracaju averaged 2 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Guarany SE won 1, Desportiva Aracaju won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Guarany SE and 1.13 for Desportiva Aracaju. This points to a Guarany SE double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guarany SE picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Aracaju.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarany SE | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarany SE Compare
Desportiva Aracaju Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarany SE scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Desportiva Aracaju let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Guarany SE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Desportiva Aracaju lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |