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Guarany vs Moto Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Geraldo
39' Event
Marcio Diogo
48' Event
Hugo Freitas

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2021 game between Guarany and Moto Club finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarany
6%
Draws
4%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany have managed 0 goals a game lately — Moto Club are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model gives Guarany a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guarany Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Moto Club
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2021 Serie D
Guarany vs Moto Club
4:2
Jun 12, 2021 Serie D
Moto Club vs Guarany
0:2
Sep 6, 2014 Serie D
Guarany vs Moto Club
0:1
Aug 3, 2014 Serie D
Moto Club vs Guarany
3:1
Oct 5, 1986 Serie A Betano
Guarany vs Moto Club
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Freitas
3 Goals
Assists Leader Geraldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcio Diogo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany 95 / 100
Moto Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Moto Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guarany scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Moto Club registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Moto Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moto Club
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Castanhal14113033:1136
2Sao Raimundo RR1485128:1129
3Penarol1473423:1424
4Galvez1471622:2422
5Fast Clube1436521:2015
6Ypiranga AP1434713:2213
7Gremio Atletico Sampaio1423912:299
8Acreano14211114:357
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany1491424:1628
2Julho Esporte1473418:1124
3Paragominas1465326:1923
4Moto Club1463520:1921
5Palmas1453619:1718
6Imperatriz1438314:1717
7SE Juventude1435613:2114
8Tocantinopolis1414917:317
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ABC1491430:1328
2Campinense1474323:1225
3America RN1464425:2022
4Atletico Cearense1463522:2021
5Sousa1444616:1816
6Central SC1436513:1715
7Treze PB1429318:1615
8Caucaia1423920:519
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juazeirense1476118:927
2Itabaiana1475222:1326
3Sergipe1465316:823
4Retro1448217:1420
5Alagoinhas1446415:1718
6Bahia de Feira1436518:2015
7ASA1433812:2212
8Murici14131014:296
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aparecidense1484219:828
2Nova Mutum EC1483318:1127
3Uniao Rondonopolis1473421:1524
4Brasiliense1463522:1421
5Goianesia1456315:1421
6Porto Velho1427510:1613
7Gama1426613:1812
8Jaragua1412116:285
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria14103124:533
2Boa1466220:1124
3Uberlandia1465321:1523
4Caldense1463526:1921
5Rio Branco-VN1456318:1321
6Rio Branco ES1443717:2215
7Patrocinense141499:227
8Aguia Negra1414913:417
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa1466220:1224
2Santo Andre1463516:1321
3Cianorte1448212:920
4Bangu1454514:1619
5Internacional de Limeira1454511:1419
6Boavista1453611:1318
7Sao Bento1435610:1314
8Madureira1435612:1614
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Joinville1477017:628
2FC Cascavel1476127:1727
3Esportivo Bento Goncalves1446415:1318
4SER Caxias do Sul1446415:1318
5Gremio Juventus1446412:1118
6Marcilio Dias1446413:1718
7Aimore1433815:1812
8Rio Branco PR141498:277