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Guarapariense W vs Atletico Capixaba W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women 2024
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AI Match Summary

Guarapariense W in this Capixaba Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarapariense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guarapariense W
20%
Draws
29%
Atletico Capixaba W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarapariense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Capixaba W haven't matched Guarapariense W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarapariense W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Guarapariense W Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Capixaba W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarapariense W Atletico Capixaba W
Matches Played 8 20
Wins 5 2
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.45
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Capixaba Women
Guarapariense W vs Atletico Capixaba W
6:1
Jun 9, 2024 Capixaba Women
Atletico Capixaba W vs Guarapariense W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarapariense W 84 / 100
Atletico Capixaba W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarapariense W Atletico Capixaba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarapariense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarapariense W's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Atletico Capixaba W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guarapariense W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarapariense W VS Atletico Capixaba W
2.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarapariense W

(Home)
20 Jul
Vila Nova ES W
3 : 4
Guarapariense W
14 Jul
Guarapariense W
1 : 3
Vila Nova ES W
06 Jul
Prosperidade W
2 : 0
Guarapariense W
30 Jun
Guarapariense W
6 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
23 Jun
Guarapariense W
4 : 2
Rio Branco-VN W
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Atletico Capixaba W

(Away)
06 Oct
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 11
Prosperidade W
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Atletico Capixaba W
0 : 5
Prosperidade W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
30 Aug
Atletico Capixaba W
2 : 2
Estadual W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova ES W 6 6 0 0 27:3 18
2 Estadual W 6 4 0 2 21:8 12
3 Harpia W 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 G.E.L. W 6 0 0 6 2:32 0
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 21:5 18
2 Guarapariense W 6 4 0 2 16:11 12
3 Rio Branco-VN W 6 1 1 4 9:17 4
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2024 (Play Offs)