Sport Picks
Guarda FC vs FC Alpendorada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Guarda FC and FC Alpendorada finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Alpendorada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Alpendorada carry the better recent record into this one.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Guarda FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and FC Alpendorada have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarda FC | FC Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarda FC Compare
FC Alpendorada Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Alpendorada conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Away concern: FC Alpendorada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Guarda FC found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarda FC
(Home)FC Alpendorada
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Florgrade | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 7 | SC Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Cinfaes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Uniao Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
