Sport Picks
Guarda FC vs FC Alpendorada Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
FC Alpendorada in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Alpendorada.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FC Alpendorada have won more games recently than Guarda FC.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Guarda FC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors FC Alpendorada here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarda FC | FC Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarda FC Compare
FC Alpendorada Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Alpendorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Difficult form: FC Alpendorada registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Guarda FC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guarda FC
(Home)FC Alpendorada
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 52:17 | 62 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 53 |
| 3 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 39:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Cinfaes | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 41 |
| 5 | Beira Mar | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:28 | 39 |
| 6 | Uniao Lamas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31:27 | 38 |
| 7 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:24 | 36 |
| 8 | Machico | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 9 | Camacha | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 30:35 | 35 |
| 10 | Guarda FC | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:30 | 32 |
| 11 | Gondomar | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:28 | 31 |
| 12 | Coimbroes | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:43 | 21 |
| 13 | Maritimo B | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25:49 | 17 |
| 14 | Regua | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16:45 | 8 |
