Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarnizo vs Buelna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buelna in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buelna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Guarnizo
30%
Draws
35%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Buelna haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Guarnizo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Buelna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Buelna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Buelna
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 22 6
Draws 13 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.4 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Buelna
2:3
Nov 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Guarnizo
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Guarnizo
1:2
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Buelna
0:1
Apr 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Buelna
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 85 / 100
Buelna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Buelna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarnizo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
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Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)