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Guarnizo vs Cayon CD

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Munoz J.
48'
Fernandez Gomez G.

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guarnizo
30%
Draws
58%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayon CD average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Guarnizo's 1.32.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cayon CD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 15%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Cayon CD
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 18 18
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Cayon CD
0:1
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Cayon CD
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Guarnizo
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Guarnizo
1:3
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Cayon CD
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cayon CD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 10 / 100
Cayon CD 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Cayon CD has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarnizo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS Cayon CD
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 8

Cayon CD

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)