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Guarnizo vs CD Monte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Ocejo G.
74' Event
Ocejo G.

AI Match Summary

Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guarnizo
30%
Draws
23%
CD Monte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarnizo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Monte haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarnizo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo CD Monte
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 11 4
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs CD Monte
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs Guarnizo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocejo G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CD Monte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 59 / 100
CD Monte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo CD Monte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Monte conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarnizo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

CD Monte

(Away)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)