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Guarulhos vs Audax-SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Porto L.
41'
Lucas Ribeiro
45' Event
Vinicius Caveira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Guarulhos in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarulhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guarulhos
20%
Draws
29%
Audax-SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarulhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Audax-SP average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Guarulhos's 1.3.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 20%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarulhos Audax-SP
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Paulista B
Audax-SP vs Guarulhos
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Audax-SP
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarulhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Caveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Audax-SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Porto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos 58 / 100
Audax-SP 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarulhos Audax-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Guarulhos found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Audax-SP conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Guarulhos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarulhos VS Audax-SP
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarulhos

(Home)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6

Audax-SP

(Away)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)