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Guarulhos vs Paulista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paulista in this Paulista A4 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarulhos
20%
Draws
40%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paulista lately — more wins on the board than Guarulhos.
  • Model gives Guarulhos a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 20%
Paulista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarulhos Paulista
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Paulista
0:1
Sep 1, 2021 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Guarulhos
3:0
Jun 16, 2018 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Guarulhos
0:2
Apr 29, 2018 Paulista A4
Guarulhos vs Paulista
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos 85 / 100
Paulista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarulhos Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarulhos found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Paulista has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Guarulhos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarulhos VS Paulista
2 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarulhos

(Home)
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2
Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0
Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2
Guarulhos
Page 1 of 7

Paulista

(Away)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams