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Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Munoz R.
24' Event
Mendez D.
37' Event
Mendez D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 game between Guatemala U20 and Aruba U20 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guatemala U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guatemala U20
30%
Draws
47%
Aruba U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aruba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guatemala U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guatemala U20's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guatemala U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U20 Aruba U20
Matches Played 35 21
Wins 17 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
5:0
Jun 23, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
2:1
Jan 18, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Aruba U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aruba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U20 42 / 100
Aruba U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U20 Aruba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Guatemala U20 scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Aruba U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Guatemala U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U20 VS Aruba U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U20

(Home)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

Aruba U20

(Away)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuba U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Nicaragua U20 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
3 British Virgin Islands U20 4 2 0 2 8:14 6
4 Belize U20 4 1 0 3 7:12 3
5 Anguilla U20 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 Suriname U20 4 3 0 1 14:8 9
3 Antigua and Barbuda U20 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Guyana U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
5 Turks and Caicos Islands U20 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala U20 4 4 0 0 15:1 12
2 Curacao U20 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Aruba U20 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
4 Barbados U20 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Saint Martin U20 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Dominica U20 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Puerto Rico U20 3 1 2 0 7:2 5
3 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Cayman Islands U20 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Martinique U20 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Bermuda U20 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Grenada U20 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Main)