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Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Guatemala U20 Logo

Guatemala U20

1 - 2
FT
Mexico U20 Logo

Mexico U20

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Mendez F.
Assist: Jurado H.
32'
Mendez F.
37'
Sub
Mendez F. In: Juarez Mendoza R.
Out: Mendez F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 game between Guatemala U20 and Mexico U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Guatemala U20
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mexico U20 come out ahead of Guatemala U20 on wins alone.
  • Mexico U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mexico U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guatemala U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala U20 Mexico U20
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Guatemala U20
4:0
Jul 25, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20
1:2
Jun 30, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Guatemala U20 vs Mexico U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala U20 10 / 100
Mexico U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala U20 Mexico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Guatemala U20 scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Mexico U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Guatemala U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala U20 VS Mexico U20
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala U20

(Home)
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
27 Jul
Antigua and Barbuda U20
0 : 4
Guatemala U20
24 Jul
Guatemala U20
0 : 1
Costa Rica U20
28 Jun
El Salvador U20
1 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

Mexico U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Spain U20
2 : 0
Mexico U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Costa Rica U20 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Cuba U20 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Jamaica U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras U20 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Canada U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 El Salvador U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Dominican Republic U20 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Panama U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Guatemala U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Haiti U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams