Sport Picks
Guatemala vs El Salvador - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 
Match Events
8'
8'
Lom D.
Assist: Fajardo W.
28'
28'
Rubin R.
Assist: Herrera A.
31'
31'
Sub
Sibrian J. In: Gil M.
Out: Sibrian J.
AI Match Summary
Guatemala in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guatemala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Guatemala have won more games recently than El Salvador.
- Guatemala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guatemala | El Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala vs El Salvador
6:0
Oct 15, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Guatemala
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 World Championship
Guatemala vs El Salvador
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Friendly International
El Salvador vs Guatemala
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Friendly International
Guatemala vs El Salvador
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guatemala Compare
Top Goalscorer Fajardo W.
3 Goals Assists Leader Lom D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
El Salvador Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guatemala 95 / 100
El Salvador 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guatemala El Salvador
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guatemala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guatemala's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
El Salvador let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Guatemala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guatemala VS El Salvador
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Guatemala
(Home) 06 Oct
Guatemala
1 : 0 Suriname
02 Oct
Suriname
0 : 0 Guatemala
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0 El Salvador
26 Sept
Jamaica
3 : 2 Guatemala
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0 Guatemala
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Guatemala
1 : 0 Suriname
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0 El Salvador
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1 Suriname
14 Nov
Guatemala
2 : 3 Panama
05 Sept
Guatemala
0 : 1 El Salvador
Page 1 of 3
El Salvador
(Away) 05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1 El Salvador
03 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 2 Jamaica
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0 El Salvador
26 Sept
El Salvador
3 : 1 Martinique
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2 El Salvador
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Martinique
1 : 1 El Salvador
29 Sept
Guatemala
6 : 0 El Salvador
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2 El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0 El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3 El Salvador
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Haiti | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Trinidad & Tobago | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 6 | Nicaragua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guatemala | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Suriname | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Honduras | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Martinique | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
