Sport Picks
Guatemala vs El Salvador
World
World Championship 2026 Estadio Cementos Progreso 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Guatemala and El Salvador finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Salvador.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- El Salvador carry the better recent record into this one.
- El Salvador are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guatemala | El Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guatemala Compare
El Salvador Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guatemala scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
El Salvador has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Guatemala remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Suriname | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guatemala | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Bermuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:23 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 2 | Honduras | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Nicaragua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |