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Guatemala vs Honduras

World World

Friendly International 2025 Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hernandez E.
30'
Alvarez J.
31' Event
Ardon J.
Assist: Santis O.

AI Match Summary

Guatemala in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guatemala
20%
Draws
50%
Honduras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Honduras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Guatemala haven't matched Honduras's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Honduras's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 17%
Honduras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala Honduras
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Honduras
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Honduras
0:0
Sep 28, 2022 Friendly International
Honduras vs Guatemala
2:1
Nov 15, 2020 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Honduras
2:1
Feb 11, 2016 Friendly International
Guatemala vs Honduras
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Honduras Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 10 / 100
Honduras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala Honduras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honduras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Honduras has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guatemala stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS Honduras
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala

(Home)
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0
Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0
Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
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Honduras

(Away)
07 Jun
Argentina
2 : 0
Honduras
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
19 Nov
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Honduras
14 Nov
Nicaragua
2 : 0
Honduras
14 Oct
Honduras
3 : 0
Haiti
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