Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guatemala vs Suriname

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Jubitana D. In: Becker S.
Out: Jubitana D.
46'
Sub
Lonwijk J. In: Grot J.
Out: Lonwijk J.
49' Event
Lom D.
Assist: Santis O.

AI Match Summary

Guatemala in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guatemala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guatemala
20%
Draws
50%
Suriname
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Suriname average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Guatemala's 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Suriname's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 17%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guatemala Suriname
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Guatemala vs Suriname
3:1
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Suriname vs Guatemala
1:1
Jun 20, 2004 World Championship
Guatemala vs Suriname
3:1
Jun 12, 2004 World Championship
Suriname vs Guatemala
1:1
Oct 7, 1977 World Championship
Guatemala vs Suriname
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Lom D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escobar O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Suriname Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 10 / 100
Suriname 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guatemala Suriname

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Guatemala found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Suriname let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Guatemala has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guatemala VS Suriname
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Guatemala

(Home)
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1
Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0
Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0
Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
Page 1 of 6

Suriname

(Away)
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
13 Nov
Suriname
4 : 0
El Salvador
15 Oct
Panama
1 : 1
Suriname
10 Oct
Suriname
1 : 1
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)