Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2024 Chase Stadium

Uruguay

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guatemala play Uruguay in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guatemala averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Uruguay averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Guatemala won 0, Uruguay won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 1, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Guatemala and 1.38 for Uruguay. This points to a Uruguay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Guatemala

33%

Draws

38%

Uruguay

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uruguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Guatemala picked up more points recently compared to Uruguay.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Guatemala Clean Sheet 17%

Uruguay Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guatemala	Uruguay
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	10	11
Draws	5	14
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.25	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.71	0.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 Friendly International

Guatemala vs Uruguay

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jun 6, 2015 Friendly International

Uruguay vs Guatemala

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

5:1

Aug 21, 1983 Pan American Games

Uruguay vs Guatemala

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guatemala Compare

Top Goalscorer Altan P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Uruguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guatemala 30 / 100

Uruguay 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guatemala Uruguay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uruguay or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guatemala attacking → ← attacking Uruguay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guatemala scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Uruguay let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Guatemala went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Uruguay lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 47

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00