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Guayaquil City vs Deportivo Municipal

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guayaquil City
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Municipal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guayaquil City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guayaquil City have won more games recently than Deportivo Municipal.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guayaquil City taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Municipal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Deportivo Municipal
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 11 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2014 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Deportivo Municipal
1:2
Sep 20, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Jun 7, 2014 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Guayaquil City
1:2
Apr 5, 2014 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Deportivo Municipal
4:2
Oct 19, 2013 Serie B
Deportivo Municipal vs Guayaquil City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 85 / 100
Deportivo Municipal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Deportivo Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Municipal let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Deportivo Municipal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Guayaquil City found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
19 Jul
Guayaquil City
1 : 0
Manta
16 Jul
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Guayaquil City
11 Jul
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
Delfin
08 Jul
Aucas
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
31 May
Guayaquil City
2 : 4
Independiente del Valle
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Deportivo Municipal

(Away)
29 Nov
Deportivo Municipal
0 : 3
Macara
23 Nov
Deportivo Quevedo
5 : 0
Deportivo Municipal
15 Nov
Deportivo Municipal
1 : 4
Univ. Cotopaxi
09 Nov
Dep. Azogues
2 : 1
Deportivo Municipal
05 Nov
Delfin
3 : 2
Deportivo Municipal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837
Promotion - Serie A 2014 (First stage)