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Guayaquil City vs Libertad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Libertad Logo

Libertad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City host Libertad in the Liga Pro. This one's hard to separate. Guayaquil City have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Libertad's 1.17 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Guayaquil City slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Guayaquil City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guayaquil City
20%
Draws
47%
Libertad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guayaquil City average 1.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Libertad's 1.17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 15%
Libertad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Libertad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Libertad
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Oct 10, 2023 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
1:0
May 6, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Libertad
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 35 / 100
Libertad 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Libertad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libertad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Libertad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Guayaquil City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Libertad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2
Emelec
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

Libertad

(Away)
09 Oct
Libertad
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Libertad 32 13 8 11 38:35 47
8 Guayaquil City 32 11 10 11 37:39 43
9 Leones del Norte 32 10 10 12 32:36 40
10 Emelec 32 10 9 13 28:39 39
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