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Guayaquil City vs Manta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

70'
Moscarelli O.
76'
Sub
Mero E. In: Dorregaray D.
Out: Mero E.
82'
Arroyo D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Guayaquil City and Manta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guayaquil City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guayaquil City
20%
Draws
40%
Manta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Manta haven't matched Guayaquil City's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Manta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City Manta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.28 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Manta
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Manta
3:0
Jul 11, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Guayaquil City
2:2
Jun 8, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Guayaquil City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Palma M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 41 / 100
Manta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City Manta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Manta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guayaquil City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS Manta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2
Emelec
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

Manta

(Away)
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)