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Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt, Guayaquil
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Diaz D. In: Dorregaray D.
Out: Diaz D.
57'
Sub
Gonzalez P. In: Cabezas E.
Out: Gonzalez P.
66'
Sub
Quinonez J. In: Ladines Calvache E. P.
Out: Quinonez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Guayaquil City and U. Catolica finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guayaquil City
20%
Draws
47%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guayaquil City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 12%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guayaquil City U. Catolica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Guayaquil City
4:1
Aug 11, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Guayaquil City
3:0
Jul 17, 2022 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs U. Catolica
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guayaquil City 35 / 100
U. Catolica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guayaquil City U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guayaquil City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guayaquil City VS U. Catolica
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guayaquil City

(Home)
10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2
Emelec
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)