Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Coppolaro M.
55'
55'
Ravasio M.
59'
59'
Gigli N.
AI Match Summary
Arezzo in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arezzo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gubbio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arezzo lately — more wins on the board than Gubbio.
- Gubbio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arezzo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gubbio | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.05 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Arezzo
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Gubbio
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arezzo vs Gubbio
3:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Arezzo
0:0
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Gubbio
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gubbio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53
Arezzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ravasio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gubbio 59 / 100
Arezzo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gubbio Arezzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gubbio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gubbio scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Arezzo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Gubbio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gubbio VS Arezzo
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gubbio
(Home) 29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
03 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Gubbio
26 Apr
Gubbio
2 : 0 Pineto
18 Apr
Sassari Torres
0 : 0 Gubbio
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Gubbio
2 : 0 Pineto
11 Apr
Gubbio
1 : 1 Pianese
29 Mar
Gubbio
0 : 2 Ravenna
15 Mar
Gubbio
1 : 3 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
Arezzo
(Away) 09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3 AlbinoLeffe
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Parma
1 : 1 Arezzo
26 Jul
Atalanta
3 : 2 Arezzo
22 Jul
Napoli
1 : 3 Arezzo
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0 Arezzo
18 Apr
Pineto
1 : 4 Arezzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
