Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gubbio vs Ascoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Di Bitonto A.
43' Event
Gori G.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Gori G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Gubbio and Ascoli finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gubbio
20%
Draws
40%
Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gubbio haven't matched Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • Gubbio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Ascoli
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.76 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Ascoli
1:3
Nov 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Gubbio
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Ascoli
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Gubbio
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ascoli vs Gubbio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Massimo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviszach E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 36 / 100
Ascoli 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gubbio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gubbio found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Ascoli
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Gubbio
03 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Gubbio
26 Apr
Gubbio
2 : 0
Pineto
18 Apr
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli

(Away)
08 Aug
Ascoli
3 : 1
Potenza
02 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 2
Lazio
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)