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Gubbio vs Vigor Senigallia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Spina M.
64' Event
Stecconi A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Gubbio and Vigor Senigallia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gubbio
20%
Draws
52%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gubbio have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Vigor Senigallia are scoring more at 1.62.
  • Model gives Vigor Senigallia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 14%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gubbio Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Gubbio vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gubbio Compare

Top Goalscorer Spina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Stecconi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gubbio 23 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gubbio Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gubbio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Vigor Senigallia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gubbio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gubbio VS Vigor Senigallia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Gubbio

(Home)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
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Vigor Senigallia

(Away)
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
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