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Gucha Stars vs MCF

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Sun, Feb 1, 2026
2 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gucha Stars host MCF in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Gucha Stars have averaged 0.63 scored and 1 conceded recently, against MCF's 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Gucha Stars have won 1 to MCF's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.81, favoring Gucha Stars. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gucha Stars
20%
Draws
38%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gucha Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gucha Stars lately — more wins on the board than MCF.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gucha Stars taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 68%
MCF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gucha Stars MCF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Gucha Stars
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs MCF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gucha Stars 51 / 100
MCF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gucha Stars MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MCF conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gucha Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gucha Stars scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gucha Stars VS MCF
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gucha Stars

(Home)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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