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Gucha Stars vs MCF Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Sun, Feb 1, 2026
2 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gucha Stars host MCF in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Gucha Stars have averaged 0.87 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against MCF's 0.63 scored and 1.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Gucha Stars have won 1 to MCF's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.81, favoring Gucha Stars. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gucha Stars
15%
Draws
37%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gucha Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gucha Stars lately — more wins on the board than MCF.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gucha Stars taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 68%
MCF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gucha Stars MCF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.87 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Gucha Stars
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs MCF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gucha Stars 51 / 100
MCF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gucha Stars MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MCF conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gucha Stars remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gucha Stars scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gucha Stars VS MCF
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gucha Stars

(Home)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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